My Personal Finance Blog

Real Estate Trends in 2010 have followed a pattern that was expected: as mortgage rates and homes sales have dropped, inventories of unsold properties have risen. The inventory currently on the market is only a portion of a larger inventory of REO (Real Estate Owned) by banks, which is held back and released slowly over a period of time, in order not to cause an even greater decline in housing values.

As we approach the end of the year, trends of 2010 will continue into 2011, following the same general pattern, with a slow recovery expected towards the end of 2011.

Some speculations predicted that the recovery would have started towards the end of 2010, but with new problems in the international economic markets, it looked like we took a double dip into the current recession. However, economists state that a double dip recession is unlikely, although spending and investments in the established economies have been challenged by emerging economies, like India and China.

Real Estate Trends are following the larger economic picture: the mortgage crisis has indeed caused a lot of turmoil and scars, which have created a domino effect with high unemployment, low consumer spending, consumer credit slow down and weak housing markets.

The large number of homeowners, who have lost their house in foreclosure, are not going to buy another property in the near future, because of the impact of the foreclosure on their credit (banks will not even consider a mortgage for a borrower for 4 years, if he/she had a foreclosure, 3 years for FHA loans,) therefore there is a new population of renters.

Investors, who have access to capital, can acquire homes for 60 cents on the dollar or less, via short sales and REO. They in turn keep these properties as rentals and investments, waiting on an inevitable economic recovery and increase in values.

Other Real Estate Trends worth mention are in the arena of commercial properties: commercial properties have followed a different pattern than residential properties, holding on to the market value longer and only in this last year have started to lose their balance, as large mortgage notes have become due and refinancing has become harder. Some great deals are available in commercial investments, from larger apartment buildings to shopping centers.

This is definitely the time to buy and it will continue for another couple of years. Inventory in residential and now commercial properties is abundant, seller’s contributions as allowed are more available and the Government (especially HUD) is providing grants and incentives not only to homeowners, but also investors, in an attempt to expedite the housing recovery.

One of the benefits claimed for capitalism is that the investment market calls for transparency. That means all companies selling stocks through the various exchanges must disclose reasonably full details of their financial performance – at least enough to allow investors to make an informed decision on whether to buy or sell. If the information is deliberately incomplete or misleading in a real way, the company can be prosecuted. In ideal world, this must keep companies honest. In March 2010, the economists are still arguing about whether the recession is over. Some are passionately asserting that all the major economies will now start positive growth. Others are equally passionate in warning about double dip recession or stagnation. Whichever camp eventually proves right, one very interesting piece of news to come out of the companies selling life insurance is that their more conservative approach to investment has produced steady growth throughout the recession. When you think of all the companies selling their expertise for the management of investments or the exploitation of movements in value through the hedge funds, it is good to see traditional values of prudence paying off. The returns may have been relatively small, i.e. between 3 and 4%, but any investment manager showing a positive return during a recession is something of a superstar.

As indicated in an previous article, this does not mean you should immediately purchase a whole life insurance. Ignoring the significant commission payments that cause much of your first year’s premium to disappear, it needs careful financial planning to decide whether whole life or the allied universal life fits your needs. One of the claimed advantages of whole life policies is they represent compulsory saving for your retirement, i.e. the cash value can either be drawn down or used as collateral for a loan if an emergency arises.

But that is the purpose of the 401k accounts. Both represent tax-free ways of saving and investing for retirement. But the greater freedom to manage the 401k accounts and the absence of both upfront commissions and high management fees usually means the returns are higher. Do not be deceived by the short-term losses in your 401k accounts over the last two years. Taking the longer view, investments have shown steady growth over the last fifty years. In real terms, you can expect your 401k account to yield more than a whole life policy. Put another way, you should only buy a whole life or universal policy when you have the maximum invested in your 401k and other more tax efficient savings and investment plans.

This does not mean you should not buy life insurance. Making adequate provision for your family and other dependents is a wise move. But you should only buy whole life if you intend to keep the cash value untouched until all the other savings have been exhausted. Otherwise, you are not giving the investment element enough time to maximize the return. When you use this site and get life insurance quotes, take the time to work through your overall financial strategy. If a whole or universal life policy fits into your best possible plans, buy with confidence. Otherwise use the life insurance quotes to find policies to make the right level of financial provision for your dependents without having to rely on a large investment component. If in doubt, work through the figures with an independent insurance agent. Make sure you make the right decision.

The New Year has come in with icy weather. Even Florida has been enjoying a little cool air – not so good for the oranges, of course. Natural gas prices have been rising so, where this is the source of heat, household budgets are under pressure. The law of supply and demand has kicked in with crude oil back above $80 a barrel. During the warmer months, the refineries focus on gas to keep us on the move. But as Fall turns into Winter, the need is for oil to keep us warm. This year, the cold spell is forcing the refineries to increase the focus on heating the home. At the pumps, the $3 gallon for premium-grade gas is here again. It’s around $2.70 for unleaded. The prices are higher this week than at any time during 2009. And the bad news is set to continue. The economists are saying the commodity prices are going to keep rising. If unleaded hits $3 a gallon, this could be a real tipping point for us all. Sure this is still less than the highs of the $4 gallon we saw in 2008. But the recession has been biting us hard. More of us have been cutting down on spending and paying down the debts. As the costs of basic household necessities rises, priorities change. Just think how much we buy in the stores comes in a truck that burns gas. If gas gets more expensive, those stores will pass on the additional shipping costs to us. That means less retail therapy. If we buy less, we don’t need the same manufacturing capacity. More jobs are at risk. The risk of a double-dip recession is all too real.

In the face of all this economic doom and gloom, we are left to make the best of how we live our lives. Those of us out in the boondocks of the exurbs are caught in the need to commute everywhere for most of what we need. Sure, the houses look pretty come the Spring sunshine, but where do we work? Where are the schools and shops? Even living in the suburbs is getting more difficult as owners give up the unequal struggle and shutter their stores. Trying to survive without a vehicle is only really possible in the cities where public transport manages to offer a basic service to key points around the central area. Even where commuting distances are short, the greenest of environmentalists is disheartened by the statistics showing the number of cyclists mown down by drivers. Where he still alive, Darwin would note the failure of the two-wheeled species to survive.

All of this combines to force us to search for ever cheaper car insurance. Assuming you don’t want to risk driving uninsured, the threat of the next premium instalment should be a real motivator to get into a routine of using the online search engines. They are all completely free and allow you to find the really cheap auto insurance quotes for all makes and models of vehicle on the road. There’s no obligation to buy but, if you do see a real possibility of saving enough dollars, you can make the change. Remember, insurers always make attractive initial offers to get you interested. In this, always remember to check the small print in your existing policy. Some insurers try to lock you into your policy for a minimum time and impose penalties if you terminate early. There are always traps for you to watch out for in the cheap car insurance market.