My Personal Finance Blog

Real Estate Trends in 2010 have followed a pattern that was expected: as mortgage rates and homes sales have dropped, inventories of unsold properties have risen. The inventory currently on the market is only a portion of a larger inventory of REO (Real Estate Owned) by banks, which is held back and released slowly over a period of time, in order not to cause an even greater decline in housing values.

As we approach the end of the year, trends of 2010 will continue into 2011, following the same general pattern, with a slow recovery expected towards the end of 2011.

Some speculations predicted that the recovery would have started towards the end of 2010, but with new problems in the international economic markets, it looked like we took a double dip into the current recession. However, economists state that a double dip recession is unlikely, although spending and investments in the established economies have been challenged by emerging economies, like India and China.

Real Estate Trends are following the larger economic picture: the mortgage crisis has indeed caused a lot of turmoil and scars, which have created a domino effect with high unemployment, low consumer spending, consumer credit slow down and weak housing markets.

The large number of homeowners, who have lost their house in foreclosure, are not going to buy another property in the near future, because of the impact of the foreclosure on their credit (banks will not even consider a mortgage for a borrower for 4 years, if he/she had a foreclosure, 3 years for FHA loans,) therefore there is a new population of renters.

Investors, who have access to capital, can acquire homes for 60 cents on the dollar or less, via short sales and REO. They in turn keep these properties as rentals and investments, waiting on an inevitable economic recovery and increase in values.

Other Real Estate Trends worth mention are in the arena of commercial properties: commercial properties have followed a different pattern than residential properties, holding on to the market value longer and only in this last year have started to lose their balance, as large mortgage notes have become due and refinancing has become harder. Some great deals are available in commercial investments, from larger apartment buildings to shopping centers.

This is definitely the time to buy and it will continue for another couple of years. Inventory in residential and now commercial properties is abundant, seller’s contributions as allowed are more available and the Government (especially HUD) is providing grants and incentives not only to homeowners, but also investors, in an attempt to expedite the housing recovery.

Where is the US economy headed?

No doubt, recovery expectations have risen over the past few months, mostly on the back of stimulus packages and proactive stance of the government. But this doesn’t seem to be a long term fix to the situation as debt is rising and soon it will build up as a mountain of worries. Everyone is aware of the situation but all efforts are being made to keep the economy running in the shorter term.

Is the Debt Problem Really Intense in US?

It’s really hard to say if the economy will collapse in 2011, but it’s almost certain that if the government continues to spend on temporary relief packages to stimulate the economy, the mountain of increasing debt will lead to the biggest financial disaster ever witnessed by mankind. At present US government, businesses nationwide and American consumers are all sailing on the same boat, which is headed for an iceberg. If you do not agree to what is being said here, then read on to know hard facts.

Will the Housing Market Recover in 2011?

Mortgage defaults are still appearing fresh in the market, keeping the housing prices near record lows. Defaults have been record high and still increasing since mid 2007. What if housing prices fail to show considerable recovery going into 2011? Well, many economists are of the view that housing market may not show any sign of improvement till the end of next year. Now, this could result in a second wave of foreclosures, which will make the cracks much wider and hopes of recovery will be shattered for long. Is Consumer Spend and Employment Situation still a Threat? Ideally, a recession is a temporary blip in economic activity, but this time around it has stayed much longer. This is evident from the employment situation, as the unemployment data is not improving despite so much quantitative and qualitative easing by the monetary authorities. Latest stimulus package has provided a support to the financial markets as investors believe that this money will help in creating jobs in the system, and as an end result consumer spend will once again pick up. But, so far things have not worked as they were expected by the Fed, and same could be the case yet again.

Are the Americans Broke?

There is no hiding from the fact that more and more American citizens are filing for personal bankruptcy. In such scenarios, how can authorities expect the demand to surface again, when people are high on debt?
America simply needs jobs, and it needs them at a much higher pace than anticipated. The recent recession, which is now officially over, may have been an indicator of an upcoming depression in the system, as it was much more than what a recession is. Now, if we again slip back to negative growth, which cannot be ruled out so early, then the economic chaos will spread its wings globally, and the world will spend a decade with a flat growth.

Investors and traders should remain prepared such financial turmoil anytime soon. Even saving up on brokerage costs, by opting for cheap online discount brokers, can help in maximizing returns in such uncertain times.

One of the benefits claimed for capitalism is that the investment market calls for transparency. That means all companies selling stocks through the various exchanges must disclose reasonably full details of their financial performance – at least enough to allow investors to make an informed decision on whether to buy or sell. If the information is deliberately incomplete or misleading in a real way, the company can be prosecuted. In ideal world, this must keep companies honest. In March 2010, the economists are still arguing about whether the recession is over. Some are passionately asserting that all the major economies will now start positive growth. Others are equally passionate in warning about double dip recession or stagnation. Whichever camp eventually proves right, one very interesting piece of news to come out of the companies selling life insurance is that their more conservative approach to investment has produced steady growth throughout the recession. When you think of all the companies selling their expertise for the management of investments or the exploitation of movements in value through the hedge funds, it is good to see traditional values of prudence paying off. The returns may have been relatively small, i.e. between 3 and 4%, but any investment manager showing a positive return during a recession is something of a superstar.

As indicated in an previous article, this does not mean you should immediately purchase a whole life insurance. Ignoring the significant commission payments that cause much of your first year’s premium to disappear, it needs careful financial planning to decide whether whole life or the allied universal life fits your needs. One of the claimed advantages of whole life policies is they represent compulsory saving for your retirement, i.e. the cash value can either be drawn down or used as collateral for a loan if an emergency arises.

But that is the purpose of the 401k accounts. Both represent tax-free ways of saving and investing for retirement. But the greater freedom to manage the 401k accounts and the absence of both upfront commissions and high management fees usually means the returns are higher. Do not be deceived by the short-term losses in your 401k accounts over the last two years. Taking the longer view, investments have shown steady growth over the last fifty years. In real terms, you can expect your 401k account to yield more than a whole life policy. Put another way, you should only buy a whole life or universal policy when you have the maximum invested in your 401k and other more tax efficient savings and investment plans.

This does not mean you should not buy life insurance. Making adequate provision for your family and other dependents is a wise move. But you should only buy whole life if you intend to keep the cash value untouched until all the other savings have been exhausted. Otherwise, you are not giving the investment element enough time to maximize the return. When you use this site and get life insurance quotes, take the time to work through your overall financial strategy. If a whole or universal life policy fits into your best possible plans, buy with confidence. Otherwise use the life insurance quotes to find policies to make the right level of financial provision for your dependents without having to rely on a large investment component. If in doubt, work through the figures with an independent insurance agent. Make sure you make the right decision.

Looking around the US economy right now. Homes have been foreclosed, bankruptcy looms on private debts and the retirement 401ks have taken a serious hit. Life as we knew it has been turned upside down without anything in place to catch us as we fell. So how did we get into this mess? The economists tell us we have been living beyond our means. Credit was cheap and, with banks and credit card companies raising their borrowing limits, there seemed to be nothing we could not afford. There was no need for savings. Everything could be charged. If the limit was reached, the housing equity could be released as cash. Over a period of about twenty years, we switched from a country that saves to a country that spends on credit. In the period just after World War II, we had “prudence”. People mostly paid cash for what they wanted and, if they did not have enough, they saved. It was a revolution when, suddenly, everything could be paid for in affordable monthly instalments. In one sense, this is the easiest way to get into serious debt without noticing. When you only pay a few hundred dollars every month, it hardly registers the total debt is tens of thousands.

Insurance companies were the last of the hold-outs. For years, they insisted everyone should pay them a lump sum once a year. Then, slowly, there was a cave. First it slipped to every six months, then quarterly. Now almost every company across the nation accepts monthly. What’s the problem for the insurance companies? Well, they estimate the likely total cost of the claims they will have to pay over the next twelve months and divide that amount between all the policy holders as the premium. If the company has done its sums properly and everyone pays once a year, the company always has the cash in the bank to pay out on all the claims. If people pay monthly, they can easily change to another insurer. They can miss one month’s payment when the family budget is under pressure. That means the insurer may not have enough money to pay the claims. So, to encourage all you people with some savings (or some slack on your credit cards), they offer discounts if you agree to pay every six or twelve months. It gives them more security and saves you some money. Paying monthly costs you the most.

That said, paying monthly gives you flexibility. You can use the online search engines to find auto insurance quotes at the lowest price. Then for just one month’s premium, you can be driving. In effect, this becomes a monthly policy. You can keep shopping around for new premium offers from different insurers. If you find a better monthly rate, you can transfer at the end of the month. But if you pay once or twice a year, the insurer will hit you with high cancellation charges to lock you in. Whatever you might save disappears. Worse, if you change the make and model of your vehicle during the longer policy term, it can be too expensive to move the policy to a cheaper company. You end up paying the higher premium until the six or twelve months end. So make a wise decision. Auto insurance is never cheap. Avoid making it too expensive.